29 Jun · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1716
FormLWWWL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Rinderer
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
86%
14%
🌟Kraus stays under total as underdog 63% (30)
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~71 pts
3-0
37%
3-1
31%
3-2
18%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+249
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)