6 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1725
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rinderer
EM
🏓Enio Mendes
ELO 1699
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Mendes goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-0
21%
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)