6 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1459
FormLWWLL
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Fadeev
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1724
FormLWWLW
13%
87%
🌟Kraus stays under total as underdog 63% (30)
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~68 pts
0-3
49%
1-3
26%
2-3
12%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+265
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)