6 Jul · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1725
FormWLLWW
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Rinderer
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1324
FormLLLLL
95%
5%
🌟Happek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (30)
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~64 pts
3-0
63%
3-1
23%
3-2
9%
2-3
2%
0-3
2%
Elo Gap+401
H2H10-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+401)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-0)