6 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
CS
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1337
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Schmitt
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1324
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Happek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (30)
Fair odds · Schmitt
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 22% · 4.61· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-0
20%
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.