6 Jul · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1324
FormLLLLL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Fadeev
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1724
FormLWWLW
5%
95%
🌟Happek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (30)
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~64 pts
0-3
63%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
2%
Elo Gap+400
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+400)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)