6 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EM
🏓Enio Mendes
ELO 1699
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fadeev
KF
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1724
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Mendes goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Fadeev
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
0-3
20%
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.