6 Jul · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SC
🏓Sergio Carrillo
ELO 1485
FormLLLLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Carrillo
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1324
FormLLLLL
76%
24%
🌟Happek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (30)
Fair odds · Carrillo
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~69 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
14%
1-3
9%
2-3
8%
Elo Gap+161
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)