6 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SC
🏓Sergio Carrillo
ELO 1485
FormLLLLW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Rinderer
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1725
FormWLLWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~66 pts
0-3
47%
1-3
25%
2-3
12%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+240
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)