6 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1324
FormLLLLL
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Mendes
EM
🏓Enio Mendes
ELO 1699
FormWWWWW
6%
94%
🌟Happek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (30)
Fair odds · Mendes
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 85%Total ~65 pts
0-3
62%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
3%
3-0
2%
Elo Gap+375
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+375)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)