Sergio Carrillo vs Kirill Fadeev — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

07 Jul · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Sergio Carrillo

ELO 1462

2-3Final setsFadeev won

🏓Kirill Fadeev

ELO 1592

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 84%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Sergio Carrillo — profile →Kirill Fadeev — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Fadeev favoured — closing 1.06

Favourite won

Total 59.5

88 points played

Over

Set handicap

Fadeev −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sergio Carrillo is favoured to win, below means Kirill Fadeev.

▲ Sergio Carrillopre 12% → final 0%

Kirill Fadeev ▼

Biggest swing 73 ptsFadeev recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games