6 Jul · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1331
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Saltzer
TS
🏓Tobias Saltzer
ELO 1473
FormWWLLW
27%
73%
🌟Happek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (30)
Fair odds · Saltzer
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~71 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
13%
3-1
10%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+142
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)