13 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1286
FormWLLLL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Rossi
CR
🏓Carlo Rossi
ELO 1687
FormWLWLL
5%
95%
Fair odds · Rossi
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~63 pts
0-3
63%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
2%
Elo Gap+401
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+401)