13 Jul · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VY
🏓Viktor Yefimov
ELO 1796
FormLWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Bertrand
IB
🏓Irvin Bertrand
ELO 1929
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Bertrand
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~68 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
13%
3-1
10%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+133
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)