13 Jul · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1286
FormWLLLL
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Kosolosky
OK
🏓Olav Kosolosky
ELO 1745
FormWWWWL
4%
96%
Fair odds · Kosolosky
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 88%Total ~62 pts
0-3
64%
1-3
24%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+459
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+459)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)