13 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VY
🏓Viktor Yefimov
ELO 1796
FormLWWWW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Yefimov
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1513
FormWLLWL
89%
11%
Fair odds · Yefimov
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~66 pts
3-0
49%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
2-3
5%
1-3
3%
Elo Gap+283
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+283)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)