Sven Happek vs Alex Moreno — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

17 Jul · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Sven Happek

ELO 1278

2-3Final setsMoreno won

🏓Alex Moreno

ELO 1248

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Moreno at 53%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Sven Happek — profile →Alex Moreno — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Happek favoured — closing 1.59

Upset

Total 74.5

103 points played

Over

Set handicap

Happek −1.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sven Happek is favoured to win, below means Alex Moreno.

▲ Sven Happekpre 43% → final 0%

Alex Moreno ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsMoreno recovered from 42%72 points · 5 games