Akito Itagaki vs Alex Moreno — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

14 Jul · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🏓Akito Itagaki

ELO 1541

1-3Final setsMoreno won

🏓Alex Moreno

ELO 1242

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Itagaki at 86%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 1-3 — the underdog won.

Akito Itagaki — profile →Alex Moreno — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Itagaki favoured — closing 1.1

Upset

Total 66.5

80 points played

Over

Set handicap

Itagaki −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Akito Itagaki is favoured to win, below means Alex Moreno.

▲ Akito Itagakipre 86% → final 0%

Alex Moreno ▼

Biggest swing 90 ptsMoreno recovered from 10%72 points · 4 games