Alex Moreno vs Luis Carrillo — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

13 Jul · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🏓Alex Moreno

ELO 1242

3-2Final setsMoreno won

🏓Luis Carrillo

ELO 1438

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Carrillo at 78%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 3-2 — the underdog won.

Alex Moreno — profile →Luis Carrillo — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Carrillo favoured

Upset

Total 74.5

111 points played

Over

Set handicap

Carrillo −1.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Luis Carrillo.

▲ Alex Morenopre 18% → final 100%

Luis Carrillo ▼

Biggest swing 94 ptsMoreno recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games