Akito Itagaki vs Luis Carrillo — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

13 Jul · 14:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Akito Itagaki

ELO 1541

3-2Final setsItagaki won

🏓Luis Carrillo

ELO 1438

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Itagaki at 61%. The actual result was Akito Itagaki 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Akito Itagaki — profile →Luis Carrillo — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Itagaki favoured

Favourite won

Total 68.5

91 points played

Over

Set handicap

Itagaki −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Akito Itagaki is favoured to win, below means Luis Carrillo.

▲ Akito Itagakipre 58% → final 100%

Luis Carrillo ▼

Biggest swing 67 ptsItagaki recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games