Matthias Danzer vs Akito Itagaki — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

17 Jul · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Matthias Danzer

ELO 1785

3-2Final setsDanzer won

🏓Akito Itagaki

ELO 1541

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Danzer at 85%. The actual result was Matthias Danzer 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Matthias Danzer — profile →Akito Itagaki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Danzer favoured — closing 1.26

Favourite won

Total 67.5

88 points played

Over

Set handicap

Danzer −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matthias Danzer is favoured to win, below means Akito Itagaki.

▲ Matthias Danzerpre 89% → final 100%

Akito Itagaki ▼

Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 5 games