20 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1284
FormWLLLL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Pinto
DP
🏓Daniele Pinto
ELO 1500
17%
83%
Fair odds · Pinto
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~67 pts
0-3
46%
1-3
25%
2-3
12%
3-2
8%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+216
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)