23 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1457
FormLWWLL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Rinderer
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1770
FormWWWWW
10%
90%
🌟Kraus stays under total as underdog 68% (98)
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 82%Total ~63 pts
0-3
60%
1-3
22%
2-3
8%
3-2
4%
3-0
3%
Elo Gap+313
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+313)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)