23 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1316
FormLLLWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Loffler
JL
🏓Jeromy Loffler
ELO 1593
FormLLWWL
12%
88%
Fair odds · Loffler
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~67 pts
0-3
49%
1-3
26%
2-3
12%
3-2
5%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+277
H2H14-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+277)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-0)