23 Jul · 19:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LH
🏓Lars Hubner
ELO 1471
FormLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Loffler
JL
🏓Jeromy Loffler
ELO 1600
FormWWLLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Loffler
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~70 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
13%
3-1
10%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+129
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)