3 Aug · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1382
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hubner
LH
🏓Lars Hubner
ELO 1424
FormLLWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Hubner
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 22% · 4.61· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~73 pts
0-3
22%
1-3
21%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)