3 Aug · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1430
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zimmermann
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1382
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Zimmermann
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~71 pts
3-0
22%
3-1
21%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)