3 Aug · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JW
🏓Johannes Willeke
ELO 1345
FormLLWLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Neumaier
MN
🏓Marcel Neumaier
ELO 1519
FormWWLLL
22%
78%
Fair odds · Neumaier
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~70 pts
0-3
35%
1-3
29%
2-3
14%
3-1
8%
3-2
7%
Elo Gap+174
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)