06 Aug · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1473
3-0Final setsKraus won
TF
🏓Timo Freund
ELO 1434
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Freund at 52%. The actual result was Luis Kraus 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Kraus favoured — closing 1.14
Total 71.5
51 points played
Set handicap
Kraus −1.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Luis Kraus is favoured to win, below means Timo Freund.
▲ Luis Krauspre 44% → final 100%
Timo Freund ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKraus recovered from 39%51 points · 3 games