06 Aug · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1279
3-2Final setsHappek won
TF
🏓Timo Freund
ELO 1434
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Freund at 78%. The actual result was Sven Happek 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Happek favoured
Total 75.5
85 points played
Set handicap
Happek −1.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sven Happek is favoured to win, below means Timo Freund.
▲ Sven Happekpre 23% → final 100%
Timo Freund ▼
Biggest swing 93 ptsHappek recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games