Kirill Fadeev vs Timo Freund — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

06 Aug · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Kirill Fadeev

ELO 1648

3-1Final setsFadeev won

🏓Timo Freund

ELO 1434

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 76%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Kirill Fadeev — profile →Timo Freund — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Fadeev favoured — closing 1.03

Favourite won

Set handicap

Fadeev −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kirill Fadeev is favoured to win, below means Timo Freund.

▲ Kirill Fadeevpre 80% → final 100%

Timo Freund ▼

Biggest swing 33 pts72 points · 4 games