10 Aug · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1401
FormLLLWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Nogami
SA
🏓Samuel Amann
ELO 1162
FormLLLLL
85%
15%
Fair odds · Nogami
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~68 pts
3-0
47%
3-1
25%
3-2
12%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+239
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)