10 Aug · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1401
FormLLLWW
93%Win chancemodel fair 1.08Danzer
MD
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1750
FormLLLWW
7%
93%
Fair odds · Danzer
Model 93% · 1.08vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 84%Total ~64 pts
0-3
61%
1-3
23%
2-3
8%
3-2
3%
3-0
2%
Elo Gap+349
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+349)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)