11 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🏓Melih Ozdemir
ELO 1394
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Waltl
KW
🏓Kento Waltl
ELO 1480
FormLLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Waltl
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~71 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
23%
3-1
14%
2-3
14%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+86
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)