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← Challenger Series predictions
11 Aug · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JWJohannes Willeke
🏓Johannes Willeke
ELO 1337
1-3Final setsDanzer won
MDMatthias Danzer
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1785
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Danzer at 89%. The actual result was Matthias Danzer 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Danzer favoured — closing 1.06
Favourite won
Total 61.5
67 points played
Over
Set handicap
Danzer −2.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Johannes Willeke is favoured to win, below means Matthias Danzer.

▲ Johannes Willekepre 8% → final 0%
Matthias Danzer ▼
Biggest swing 14 pts67 points · 4 games