11 Aug · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JW
🏓Johannes Willeke
ELO 1374
FormLWWWL
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Danzer
MD
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1763
FormWWWWW
6%
94%
Fair odds · Danzer
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~63 pts
0-3
63%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
2%
Elo Gap+389
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+389)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)