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← Challenger Series predictions
11 Aug · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KWKento Waltl
🏓Kento Waltl
ELO 1431
1-3Final setsWilleke won
JWJohannes Willeke
🏓Johannes Willeke
ELO 1337
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Waltl at 69%. The actual result was Johannes Willeke 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Willeke favoured
Favourite won
Total 74.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Willeke −1.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kento Waltl is favoured to win, below means Johannes Willeke.

▲ Kento Waltlpre 67% → final 0%
Johannes Willeke ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsWilleke recovered from 33%67 points · 4 games