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Ratings & Predictions
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← Challenger Series predictions
20 Aug · 11:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MDMatthias Danzer
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1785
3-0Final setsDanzer won
AMAlex Moreno
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1238
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Danzer at 99%. The actual result was Matthias Danzer 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Danzer favoured — closing 1.03
Favourite won
Set handicap
Danzer −2.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matthias Danzer is favoured to win, below means Alex Moreno.

▲ Matthias Danzerpre 99% → final 100%
Alex Moreno ▼
Biggest swing 1 pts53 points · 3 games