20 Aug · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1773
FormWWWWW
98%Win chancemodel fair 1.02Danzer
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
FormLLLLL
98%
2%
Fair odds · Danzer
Model 98% · 1.02vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 89%Total ~62 pts
3-0
65%
3-1
24%
3-2
9%
2-3
1%
0-3
1%
Elo Gap+510
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+510)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)