20 Aug · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
FormLLLLL
98%Win chancemodel fair 1.02Rinderer
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1780
FormWWWWW
2%
98%
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 98% · 1.02vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 89%Total ~62 pts
0-3
65%
1-3
24%
2-3
9%
3-2
1%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+517
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+517)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)