20 Aug · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1376
FormLWWLL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Danzer
MD
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1773
FormWWWWW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Danzer
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~63 pts
0-3
63%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
2%
Elo Gap+397
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+397)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)