20 Aug · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LQ
🏓Liang Qiu
ELO 1576
FormLWLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Danzer
MD
🏓Matthias Danzer
ELO 1773
FormWWWWW
20%
80%
⚡ Cover lean · Danzer
Fair odds · Danzer
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~68 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
24%
2-3
11%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+197
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)