20 Aug · 14:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LQ
🏓Liang Qiu
ELO 1576
FormLWLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Rinderer
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1780
FormWWWWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~68 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
24%
2-3
12%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+204
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)