20 Aug · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1376
FormLWWLL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Rinderer
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1780
FormWWWWW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 86%Total ~63 pts
0-3
63%
1-3
23%
2-3
9%
3-2
2%
3-0
1%
Elo Gap+404
H2H18-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+404)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-2)