20 Aug · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DZ
🏓Damian Zech
ELO 1376
FormLWWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Zech
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
FormLLLLL
69%
31%
🌟Zech rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (65)
Fair odds · Zech
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~70 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
24%
3-2
15%
1-3
12%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+113
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)