Alex Moreno vs Johannes Willeke — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

25 Aug · 06:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🏓Alex Moreno

ELO 1248

3-0Final setsMoreno won

🏓Johannes Willeke

ELO 1337

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Willeke at 68%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 3-0 — the underdog won.

Alex Moreno — profile →Johannes Willeke — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Moreno favoured — closing 1.64

Favourite won

Total 75.5

54 points played

Under

Set handicap

Moreno −1.5 sets

Covered

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Johannes Willeke.

▲ Alex Morenopre 27% → final 100%

Johannes Willeke ▼

Biggest swing 80 ptsMoreno recovered from 20%54 points · 3 games