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Ratings & Predictions
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Challenger Series predictions
24 Aug · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1529
3-2Final setsHenninger won
MKManuel Kupfer
🏓Manuel Kupfer
ELO 1328
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Henninger at 83%. The actual result was Marius Henninger 3-2 the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henninger favoured — closing 1.08
Favourite won
Total 62.5
111 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henninger −2.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Manuel Kupfer.

Marius Henningerpre 87% → final 100%
Manuel Kupfer
Biggest swing 75 ptsHenninger recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games