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← Challenger Series predictions
31 Aug · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
1-3Final setsZimmermann won
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1521
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Henninger at 56%. The actual result was Karl Zimmermann 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henninger favoured
Upset
Total 75.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Henninger −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Karl Zimmermann.

▲ Marius Henningerpre 53% → final 0%
Karl Zimmermann ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games