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← Challenger Series predictions
31 Aug · 15:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KZKarl Zimmermann
🏓Karl Zimmermann
ELO 1521
2-3Final setsFadeev won
KFKirill Fadeev
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1652
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 63%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Fadeev favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 73.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Fadeev −1.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karl Zimmermann is favoured to win, below means Kirill Fadeev.

▲ Karl Zimmermannpre 39% → final 0%
Kirill Fadeev ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsFadeev recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games