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← Challenger Series predictions
07 Sep · 12:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RTRafael Turrini
🏓Rafael Turrini
ELO 1879
1-3Final setsHenninger won
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 96%. The actual result was Marius Henninger 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Turrini favoured — closing 1.1
Upset
Total 69.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Turrini −2.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafael Turrini is favoured to win, below means Marius Henninger.

▲ Rafael Turrinipre 96% → final 0%
Marius Henninger ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsHenninger recovered from 3%72 points · 4 games