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← Challenger Series predictions
07 Sep · 16:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
0-3Final setsFadeev won
KFKirill Fadeev
🏓Kirill Fadeev
ELO 1652
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 53%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Fadeev favoured — closing 1.73
Favourite won
Total 75.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Fadeev −1.5 sets
Covered
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Kirill Fadeev.

▲ Marius Henningerpre 50% → final 0%
Kirill Fadeev ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts59 points · 3 games