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← Challenger Series predictions
07 Sep · 14:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MHMarius Henninger
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1612
3-1Final setsHenninger won
CSCosmo Schmitt
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1288
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Henninger at 85%. The actual result was Marius Henninger 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henninger favoured — closing 1.04
Favourite won
Set handicap
Henninger −2.5 sets
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marius Henninger is favoured to win, below means Cosmo Schmitt.

▲ Marius Henningerpre 89% → final 95%
Cosmo Schmitt ▼
Biggest swing 20 pts60 points · 4 games