7 Sept · 16:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MH
🏓Marius Henninger
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Henninger
CS
🏓Cosmo Schmitt
ELO 1327
FormLLLWL
81%
19%
Fair odds · Henninger
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~68 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
24%
3-2
12%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+204
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)